| 系統識別號 | U0002-3006202214021000 |
|---|---|
| DOI | 10.6846/TKU.2022.00857 |
| 論文名稱(中文) | 中美貿易戰對越南經濟的影響 |
| 論文名稱(英文) | The Impact of China-United States Trade War on Vietnam’s Economy |
| 第三語言論文名稱 | |
| 校院名稱 | 淡江大學 |
| 系所名稱(中文) | 臺灣與亞太研究全英語碩士學位學程 |
| 系所名稱(英文) | Master's Program in Taiwan and Asia-Pacific Studies, College of International Studies (English-Taught Program) |
| 外國學位學校名稱 | COLLEGE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS |
| 外國學位學院名稱 | TAMKANG UNIVERSITY |
| 外國學位研究所名稱 | MASTER'S PROGRAM IN TAIWAN AND ASIA PACIFIC STUDIES |
| 學年度 | 110 |
| 學期 | 2 |
| 出版年 | 111 |
| 研究生(中文) | 王業成 |
| 研究生(英文) | Bui Dinh Thanh |
| 學號 | 607245122 |
| 學位類別 | 碩士 |
| 語言別 | 英文 |
| 第二語言別 | |
| 口試日期 | 2022-06-07 |
| 論文頁數 | 87頁 |
| 口試委員 |
指導教授
-
林立(taiwan37@ms37.hinet.net)
口試委員 - 鄭欽模 口試委員 - 李瓊莉 |
| 關鍵字(中) |
中美貿易戰 越南與中美貿易戰 中美貿易戰中的越南經濟 |
| 關鍵字(英) |
China-US trade war Viet nam with China-US trade war Vietnam’s economy in trader war of China and US |
| 第三語言關鍵字 | |
| 學科別分類 | |
| 中文摘要 |
為避免關稅而將生產從中國轉移到第三國的趨勢,外國直接投資越南,以併購形式增加投資以及將生產結構轉移到高增長行業。 文章還討論了越南在美中長期貿易緊張局勢下可能面臨的機遇和挑戰。 從那裡,本文為政府和企業在這場戰爭影響之前發展經濟提供了一些有用的建議。 |
| 英文摘要 |
The trend of shifting production from China to third countries to avoid tariffs, foreign direct investment into Vietnam, increased investment in the form of mergers and acquisitions and shifting production structure to high-growth industries. The article also discusses the opportunities and challenges that Vietnam may face in the situation of long-term trade tension between the United States and China. From there, the article has offered some useful advice for governments and enterprises to develop their economies before the effects of this war. |
| 第三語言摘要 | |
| 論文目次 |
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCION 1 1.1 Research Background 1 1.2 Research Objectives 2 1.3 Research Questions 3 2.-LITERATURE REVIEW 3 3.- RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHOD 6 4.- TENTATIVE TABLE OF CONTENTS 7 CHAPTER 2: THEORETICAL BASIS OF TRADE WAR 8 2.1 Concept of trade war 8 2.2 Types of trade wars 8 2.2.1 Currency wars 9 2.2.2 Tariff wars 9 2.2.3 Economic embargo 10 2.2.4 Economic war 11 2.3 Impact of the trade war on the world economy 12 2.4 Developments of the US-China trade war in 2018 13 2.4.1 Overview of the US and China's economy and trade before 2018 13 2.4.2 Bilateral trade relations between the US and China before 2018 22 2.4.3 Developments of the US-China trade war 2018 27 3.1 Overview of Vietnam's economic situation before and after the trade war 38 3.1.1 Vietnam's economic situation in the period before 2018 (before the US-China trade war) 38 3.1.2 Vietnam's economic situation after the trade war (From 2018 to present) 41 3.2 Vietnam's policies to respond to the US-China trade war 44 3.3 Impact of the trade war on Vietnam's import and export turnover 45 3.3.1 Positive impact in the short term 47 3.3.2 Long-term negative impact 52 3.4 Impact of trade war on attracting foreign direct investment of Vietnam 55 3.4.1 FDI inflows into Vietnam tend to increase as foreign enterprises move their investments out of China to Vietnam. 56 3.4.2 Investment trend in the form of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) has increased sharply 59 3.4.3 FDI attraction spans many fields focusing on many new industries with high technology content and replacing products from China. 60 3.4.4. FDI capital from Hong Kong and China increased rapidly. 61 3.5 Some other negative effects 63 3.5.1 Negative impacts on the environment and social security of Vietnam 63 3.5.2 Negative impact on the global economy 63 CHAPTER 4: RECOMMENDATIONS FOR PROMOTING VIETNAM'S ECONOMY 65 4.1 Opportunities and challenges of Vietnam in the context of the US-China trade war in 2018. 65 4.1.1 Opportunity. 65 4.1.2 Challenges. 72 4.2 Put forward some solutions to Vietnam's economic development opportunities in the context of the US-China trade war in 2018. 76 4.2.1 Recommendations to the government of Vietnam. 76 4.2.2 Enterprise recommendations in Vietnam. 80 Conclusion 84 BIBLIOGRAPHY 85 List of Table Table 1: Major export groups and products of the US in the period 2012 - 2017 (unit: billion USD) 15 Table 2 Value of Vietnam's exports to the US market by a number of key products 51 List of Figures Figure 1 The largest export and import markets of US goods in the period 2000 – 2017. 19 Figure 2 Main import markets of Vietnam 46 Figure 3 Main export markets of Vietnam 47 Figure 4 The structure of goods imported from China in the US tax package worth 50 billion goods in 2018 48 Figure 5 The structure of goods imported from China in the US tax package worth 200 billion goods in September 2018 49 Figure 6 Group of products imported from China are most affected by the US$ 200 billion tax package in 2018 50 |
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