這個論斷是為了掌握的關鍵因素調解成功的政治危機爆發後，在肯尼亞2007年12月的總統選舉。調解是由前聯合國秘書長安南和面板的非洲知名人士，誰接手的調解努力的初步嘗試後，使爭執雙方回到談判桌失敗。的調解努力的領導下，科菲安南持續41天，並最終分享權力的協議，建立了總理位置的反對派領導人奧廷加和分裂的內閣職位之間的ODM和PNU。 的關鍵因素成功的調解，包括個人常設首席調解人科菲安南和他管理的方式調解過程中，以及大力支持和壓力產生於美國和歐洲聯盟參與誰在一開始就危機和整個調解過程。權力分享協議敲定安南結束了政治危機，威脅到整個地區不穩定。

This thesis is an attempt to capture the key factors of the mediation success in the political crisis that erupted in Kenya following the December 2007 presidential elections. The mediation was conducted by former United nations Secretary General Kofi Annan and a panel of eminent African personalities, who took over the mediation efforts after initial attempts to bring the feuding parties to the negotiating table failed.  The mediation efforts, under the leadership of Kofi Annan lasted 41 days and culminated in a power-sharing deal that created a position of Prime Minister for the opposition leader Raila Odinga and split cabinet positions between ODM and PNU. The key factors of the mediation success include the personal standing of the chief mediator Kofi Annan and the way he managed the mediation process as well as the overwhelming support and pressure that emanated from the United States and the European Union who were involved at the outset of the crisis and throughout the whole mediation process. The power-sharing deal hammered out by Annan brought an end to the political crisis that threatened to destabilize the entire region.

Chinese Abstract                                                                                                               i
English  ii Abstract                                                                                                                            ii 
Acknowledgments                                                                                                                         iii
List of Abbreviations                                                                                                                    iv
Table of Contents                                                                                                                           v
Chapter I- Introduction	1
I-1 Statement and scope of the problem	1
I-2 Research aim and rationale	4
I-3 Literature review	5
I-4 Hypothesis	23
I-5 Research Method	24
I-6 Research delimitations	28
I-7 Research structure	29
Chapter II Kenya: the December post-election crisis	30
II-1 A synoptic presentation of Kenya	30
II-2 Looking at the post-election crisis	33
Chapter III The mediation process	46
III-1 Early mediation attempts	46
III-2 Mediation by Kofi Annan and the panel of eminent African personalities	50
III-3 The mediation outcome	59
III-4 Implementation	60
Chapter IV Assessment	61
IV-1 Mediation success	61
IV-2 Motives of the parties	63
IV-3 The nature of the parties	68
IV-4 The nature of the dispute	70
IV-5 The nature of the mediator	72
IV-6 Mediation strategies	75
IV-7 Supportive International context	77
Chapter V Conclusion	82
Bibliography	87

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Jeffrey Gettleman, “Opposition leading in Kenya vote”, International Herald Tribune, 28 December 2007
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African Union plans mediation in Kenya, Reuters, 2 January 2008, http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L02368842.htm
Opposition Seeks New Vote as Violence Ebbs in Kenya, The New York Times, January 5 2008, http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/05/world/africa/05nairobi.html?r=1&ref=africa
Kenya: Kufuor's Whistle-Stop Diplomacy Was Only to Pave Way for Annan, Allafrica 14 January 2008, http://allafrica.com/stories/200801141346.html
The prisoner of peace: an interview with Kofi Annan, http://kofiannanfoundation.org/sites/default/files/'%20A%20prisoner%20of%20peace'%20Interview%20with%20Kofi.%20A.%20Annan.pdf.
Roger Cohen, “African genocide averted”, March 13, 2008, New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/03/opinion/03cohen.html?_r=1
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Elisabeth Lindenmayer and Josie Lianna Kaye, “A Choice for Peace? The story of 41 days of mediation in Kenya”, 
http://kofiannanfoundation.org/sites/default/files/Microsoft%20Word%20%20A%20Choice%20for%20Peace.pdf .
Bernard Namunane “Kenya: Annan pleads for Grand Coalition Government” 13 February, 2008, http://allafrica.com/stories/200802121155.html
Central Intelligence Agency, the World Factbook: Kenya, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ke.html.
Renu Modi and Seema Shekhawat, “The Kenyan crisis: post December  2007 elections ”, Working paper No. 1, University of Mumbai, Centre for African Studies, http://www.mu.ac.in/arts/social_science/african_studies/renumodiwp.pdf.
Council of the European Union, “Declaration by the Presidency on behalf of the European Union concerning the AU mediation efforts in Kenya”
Websites	
http://www.africa-union.org/
 http://www.crimesofwar.org/
 ht tp://www.un.org/
http://www.hdcentre.org/
http://kofiannanfoundation.org/