自二次大戰結束後，澳洲海軍發展的獨特性越見明顯。澳洲這段由原本受到英美兩大海權強國影響，到逐漸獨立自主的發展過程，引發了作者對於澳洲海軍研究的興趣。特別是在後冷戰時期，澳洲海軍如何隨著國家戰略定位的不同而有所轉變，更是作者所關心的範圍。有鑒於此，作者將論文內容聚焦於後冷戰時期澳洲海軍發展之研究，包括整體戰略、兵力態勢、任務與目的，以及未來展望等。希望能藉由深入的討論與分析，而能在這個議題上得到一些具有創新性的研究成果。
    在主要內容上，本論文首先將闡述在整體戰略環境與威脅認知影響下的澳洲海軍，作者並將解釋其發展相對應的政策與作為。第二部份講述後冷戰時期澳洲歷任政府如何影響到海軍的戰略發展與作為，以及對澳洲海軍本身而言，它們對海權的概念為何？並藉以分析澳洲海軍的獨特觀點在軍力發展上具有何種意義？第三部份分析澳洲海軍的實質建軍方向及兵力態勢。第四部份除了總結與分析外，還希望能提供預測澳洲海軍未來發展的一些基本看法與建議。
    本論文的研究結果顯示，澳洲海軍到了2020年後的戰力必將有很大的提升，其將具有區域兵力投射，並掌握區域制海、制空權的能力。除此之外，澳洲海軍還將會發展出新的軍事思想，藉以達成澳洲成為區域性的軍事和海上強權的目標。在2001年公佈的「21世紀的澳洲海軍」發展規劃當中，要求澳洲海軍提升海上快速反應能力、支援登陸作戰能力和區域防空能力。澳洲海軍不但要在周邊地區，還要能配合盟國遂行遠征作戰。規劃是澳洲海軍的「現存艦隊」到2015年蛻變為「增強艦隊」，到2025年發展成「未來艦隊」。這是澳洲海軍走向「藍水海軍」的標誌，也代表著澳洲海軍成為一個非謹守領海，而是逐漸擴張的戰略角色。

Since the end of the Second World War, the Royal Australian Navy (RAN) has demonstrated itself as a unique naval power in many ways. Historically, Australia had been first influenced by the United Kingdom and then, the United States. As time went by, Canberra had gradually adopted a more independent approach in terms of its naval development. Such changes and development triggered my interest in studying the RAN from a historical prospective, especially in the post-Cold War era. To identify how the RAN transformed itself in accordance with varying national interests and strategy is also one of my major concerns in this thesis. Therefore, this research in particular focuses on RAN’s overall strategy, force posture, missions and objectives, as well as future prospects and planning. Hopefully the readers can be inspired by my in-depth discussion and analysis on this subject.

     Structurally, this thesis firstly analyzes the overall strategic environment Canberra faces and different threat perceptions the RAN holds. The responding measures by this Down Under country are hereby discussed. The second part describes the policies and strategies of successive Australian governments affecting RAN’s growth. RAN’s strategic concepts and their application in actual development are also evaluated. Thirdly, this work assesses the military capabilities and force structures of the RAN, qualitatively and quantitatively, in order to depict the real picture of this naval power in the Southern Hemisphere.
Last but not the least, the fourth part of this thesis provides my remarks and conclusions. Some future predictions and recommendations for the RAN are also included in this final section. 

     This thesis finds that RAN’s capabilities shall be significantly enhanced by 2020. The Australian fleet will be able to project its military power at least regionally, and to enjoy certain area command of the sea and air. Besides, there will be a new development of military thinking within the RAN, so that its strategic planning could be properly guided. According to a 2001 governmental publication, Australia's Navy for the 21st century: 2001-2030, the RAN will upgrade its capabilities of maritime rapid response capability, amphibious operations and regional air defense in upcoming years. The RAN is expected to be competent enough to engage in not only regional operations, but also expeditionary missions with allies. For meeting these goals, the RAN as a “Fleet-in-Being” at present must be transformed to an “Enhanced Fleet” by 2015, and a “Future Fleet” by 2025. Such an evolution is apparently RAN’s roadmap for a “blue-water navy”, hoping that Australia will become an expanding naval power, rather than simply take up a pure defensive posture in the future.

目錄

緒論	1
壹、	研究動機與目的	1
貳、	研究方法與文獻回顧	1
參、	論文內容大綱	5
第一章	戰略環境與威脅認知	10
第一節	亞太與美國	10
第二節	威脅認知	31
第二章	澳洲的海權思想與海洋戰略	43
第一節	對海權的認知	43
第二節	戰略的演變	47
第三章	澳洲海軍建軍方向與兵力態勢	57
第一節	海軍建軍方向	58
第二節	海軍兵力態勢	65
第四章	總結與未來展望	107
第一節	澳洲海軍未來發展的具體方向	107
第二節	澳洲海軍建軍發展的阻擾因素	114
第三節	對我國的啟示	116
參考文獻	122


圖目錄

圖一 威脅光譜（SPECTRUM OF THREATS）	32
圖二 海盜活動及海上恐怖主義複合性連續體	39
圖三 海洋戰略大寫「S」與小寫「S」的分類	46
圖四 澳洲區域安全利益與軍事利益的直接區域	50
圖五 衝突光譜（SPECTRUM OF CONFLICT）	57
圖六 任務光譜（SPECTRUM OF OPERATIONS）	59
圖七 海洋任務架構圖	63
圖八 實際國防支出	73
圖九 國防支出佔GDP之比例	74
圖十 東北亞國家國防支出之比較 1997-2007	76
圖十一 澳洲與東南亞國家國防支出之比較 1997-2007	77
圖十二 澳洲與東亞國家區域整體國防支出佔GDP之百分比 1998-2007	78
圖十三 澳洲海洋責任區域	87
圖十四 朝向未來艦隊發展	93


表目錄

表一、後冷戰時期澳洲歷屆總理	7
表二、後冷戰時期澳洲歷任國防部長	7
表三、後冷戰時期澳洲歷任海軍司令	8
表四 中共近年來針對澳洲礦業公司的收購行動	19
表五 澳洲海軍現役裝備	82
表六 「三艦隊海軍」（THREE FLEET NAVY）發展階段	89

參考文獻
一、	中文書目
(一)	專書
Charles C. Moskos等編，洪陸訓等譯，後現代軍隊：冷戰後的武裝力量（台北：政戰學校，2005）
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鈕先鍾，戰略研究入門（台北：麥田出版股份有限公司，1998）
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(二)	期刊論文
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Dibb, Paul, Australia’s Security Relationship with Japan: How much further can it go?（Canberra：Australian National University Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, 2008）
Dupont, Alan, Unsheathing the Samurai sword: Japan's changing security policy（New South Wales：Lowy Institute for International Policy, 2004）
Evans, Michael, The Tyranny of Dissonance：Australia’s Strategic Culture and Way of War 1901-2005（Canberra：Land Warfare Studies Centre, 2005）
Frame, Tom , No Pleasure Cruise: The Story of the Royal Australian Navy（Australia：Allen and Unwin, 2001）
Gordon, Sandy, Implications of the Sale of Australian Uranium to India（Canberra：Australian National University Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, 2008）
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Jennings, Peter, Time for a new defense white paper（Canberra：Australian Strategic Policy Institute, 2005）
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Lyon, Rod, The eagle in a turbulent world：US and its global role（Canberra：Australian Strategic Policy Institute, 2008）
Lyon, Rod, Alliance Unleashed：Australia and the US in a new strategic age（Canberra：Australian Strategic Policy Institute, 2005）
McCausland, Jeffrey D. et al., eds., The other special relationship: The United States and Australia at the Start of the 21st Century（Pennsylvania：Army War College Strategic Studies Institute, 2007）
Stevens, David, ed., Southern Trident：Strategy, History, and the Rise of Australian Naval Power（Australia：Allen and Unwin, 2001）
Stevens, David and John Reeve, Navy and the Nation：The Influence of the Navy on Modern Australia（Australia：Allen and Unwin, 2006）
Tellis, J. Ashley and Michael Wills, ed., Strategic Asia 2005–06: Military Modernization in an Era of Uncertainty（Washington：The National Bureau of Asian Research, 2005）
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Thomson, Mark, Your Defence Dollar：The 2006–07 Defence Budget（Canberra：Australian Strategic Policy Institute, 2005）
Thomson, Mark, Punching above our weight? Australia as a middle power （Canberra：Australian Strategic Policy Institute, 2005）
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(二)	Periodicals
Barrie, Chris, “The Defence White Paper 2009 and Australia’s Maritime Capabilities,” Kokoda Foundation Security Challenges 5, no. 2（Winter 2009）：51-59.
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Frühling, Stephan, “Golden Window of Opportunity:A New Maritime Strategy and Force Structure for the Australian Navy,” Kokoda Foundation Security Challenges 4, no. 2（Winter 2008）：81-104.
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