§ 瀏覽學位論文書目資料
  
系統識別號 U0002-1608201815125000
DOI 10.6846/TKU.2018.00462
論文名稱(中文) 運用遺傳演算法探討洪水退水段水庫最佳化操作策略
論文名稱(英文) Investigating Reservoir Optimal Operation Strategy for Flood Recession Limb by Genetic Algorithm
第三語言論文名稱
校院名稱 淡江大學
系所名稱(中文) 水資源及環境工程學系碩士班
系所名稱(英文) Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering
外國學位學校名稱
外國學位學院名稱
外國學位研究所名稱
學年度 106
學期 2
出版年 107
研究生(中文) 曹茹暄
研究生(英文) Ju-Hsuan TSAO
學號 606480019
學位類別 碩士
語言別 英文
第二語言別
口試日期 2018-07-18
論文頁數 82頁
口試委員 指導教授 - 張麗秋
委員 - 張斐章
委員 - 蔡孝忠
關鍵字(中) 遺傳演算法
水庫操作
關鍵字(英) Genetic Algorithm
Reservoir Operation
第三語言關鍵字
學科別分類
中文摘要
臺灣地區因降雨時空分布不均、地理環境不佳,加上地狹人稠,隨著都市、工商業發展,需水量大增,故水庫成為調節時空降雨不均與分配水資源之最重要設施之一。
本研究主要目的為探討水庫之退水段(洪峰發生後階段)最佳操作策略,以石門水庫為研究對象,透過遺傳演算法(Genetic Algorithm)搜尋最佳操作策略,設定蓄水功能與閘門操作次數最少為目標函數,並且根據石門水庫運轉規則以及河川自然流態,訂定限制式;本研究之目標函數最少兩種,但兩種目標不互相衝突,可合併為單目標進行搜尋。本研究將颱風場次依照平均入流量分類為大、中、小場次,透過GA搜尋結果與原始操作結果進行比較,結果顯示GA獲得較佳之操作結果,並且整體上皆能搜尋出符合限制條件之合理放流歷程。綜合結果得知GA操作不論於大、中、小場次、低水位或高水位皆能提供有效之退水段最佳操作策略。
英文摘要
In Taiwan, due to the uneven temporal distribution of rainfall and the poor geographical conditions, rivers cannot provide stable water resources for usage. With a large population living and industrial development in this small region, reservoirs become one of the important and effective floodwater storage facilities to adjust and distribute water resources.
For providing information of rational operating decisions in flood recession limb of reservoirs, this study proposed a reservoir operation optimization model, the desired storage and the minimum number of gate operation, with existing operational regulations and natural flow regime, taking Shihmen Reservoir as a case study. These two objective functions can combine into one objective function without conflict with each other by using the Genetic Algorithm (GA) as a searching engine to find the optimal operation strategy. In this study, according the average inflow, typhoons are classified into large, medium, and small events. In any cases, the results demonstrate that GA can effectively provide rational flood recession limb operating decision of the reservoir to store floodwater for the future usage and the few number of gate operation.
第三語言摘要
論文目次
謝誌	I
中文摘要	III
Abstract	IV
目錄	VI
圖目錄	VIII
表目錄	X
第一章 前言	1
1.1 研究緣起與目的	1
1.2 研究流程	2
1.3 論文架構	4
第二章 文獻回顧	5
2.1 遺傳演算法之發展研究	5
2.2 遺傳演算法應用於水庫方面之研究	7
第三章 理論概述	10
3.1 遺傳演算法	10
3.2 遺傳演算法之基本架構與流程	11
3.3 遺傳演算法之基本元素與運算子	13
3.4 遺傳演算法之目標函數與限制式	25
第四章 研究案例	26
4.1 研究區域概述	26
4.2 颱風資料蒐集	29
4.3 目標函數與限制式	32
4.5 修正遺傳演算法	39
4.6 遺傳演算法之參數設定	41
第五章 結果與討論	42
5.1 大場次颱風操作比較	46
5.2 中場次颱風操作比較	50
5.3 小場次颱風操作比較	54
第六章 結論與建議	58
6.1 結論	58
6.2 建議	60
參考文獻	61
附錄 GA搜尋結果圖	67

圖1-1研究流程圖	3
圖3-1遺傳演算法流程圖	12
圖3-2遺傳演算法遺傳單元之資料結構	12
圖3-3二位元編碼	13
圖3-4實數編碼	13
圖3-5輪盤式選取法示意圖	16
圖3-6單點交配示意圖	18
圖3-7雙點交配示意圖	18
圖3-8字罩交配示意圖	19
圖3-9均勻交配示意圖	20
圖3-10突變示意圖	23
圖3-11反轉示意圖	23
圖4-1石門水庫位置圖	27
圖4-2退水段起訖時間選取示意圖	30
圖4-3修正前遺傳演算法結果示意圖	40
圖4-4放流量範圍修正示意圖	40
圖5-1 1979年歐敏颱風之GA操作放流歷程圖	47
圖5-2 1979年歐敏颱風之原始操作放流歷程圖	47
圖5-3 1992年寶莉颱風之GA操作放流歷程圖	49
圖5-4 1992年寶莉颱風之原始操作放流歷程圖	49
圖5-5 2004年蘭寧颱風之GA操作放流歷程圖	51
圖5-6 2004年蘭寧颱風之原始操作放流歷程圖	51
圖5-7 2006年珊珊颱風之GA操作放流歷程圖	53
圖5-8 2006年珊珊颱風之原始操作放流歷程圖	53
圖5-9 2008年卡玫基颱風之GA操作放流歷程圖	55
圖5-10 2008年卡玫基颱風之原始操作放流歷程圖	55
圖5-11 2016年莫蘭蒂颱風之GA操作放流歷程圖	57
圖5-12 2016年莫蘭蒂颱風之原始操作放流歷程圖	57

表4-1石門水庫主要設施及相關水門	28
表4-2颱風資料	31
表4-3水庫軟硬體條件總限制式整理表	35
表4-4 72場颱風場次之各範圍入流減少量平均值	39
表4-5遺傳演算法之參數設定	41
表5-1颱風場次分類	43
表5-2 GA與原始操作之比較結果	44
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