系統識別號 | U0002-1507201915571400 |
---|---|
DOI | 10.6846/TKU.2019.00399 |
論文名稱(中文) | 泰國交通事故的增長 |
論文名稱(英文) | Traffic Accident Growth in Thailand |
第三語言論文名稱 | |
校院名稱 | 淡江大學 |
系所名稱(中文) | 臺灣與亞太研究全英語碩士學位學程 |
系所名稱(英文) | Master's Program in Taiwan and Asia-Pacific Studies, College of International Studies (English-Taught Program) |
外國學位學校名稱 | College of International Studies |
外國學位學院名稱 | Tamkang University |
外國學位研究所名稱 | Master's Program in Taiwan and Asia-Pacific Studies |
學年度 | 107 |
學期 | 2 |
出版年 | 108 |
研究生(中文) | 李蓉蓉 |
研究生(英文) | Keeratee Leeanant |
學號 | 606245180 |
學位類別 | 碩士 |
語言別 | 英文 |
第二語言別 | |
口試日期 | 2019-06-17 |
論文頁數 | 62頁 |
口試委員 |
指導教授
-
蔡青龍
委員 - 柯大衛 委員 - 戴萬平 |
關鍵字(中) |
泰國 交通事故 |
關鍵字(英) |
traffic accident deaths Thailand |
第三語言關鍵字 | |
學科別分類 | |
中文摘要 |
本研究介紹了交通事故統計圖表的結果,這些圖表在交通擁擠和死亡人數之間發生了變化,數字逐年下降。根據斯梅德定律理論,認為當車輛數量較多時,車禍的數量也會增加。然而,陸路運輸部和泰國局網站的記錄已經提供了足夠的資料來證明泰國的交通事故自2010年至2018年已發生變化。每年,車輛的數量無疑越來越高,但事實證明汽車事故已經減少,並得到泰國人的支持,以遵守交通法並了解生命的價值。 當人們了解他們的生活如何重要時,他們不會因疏忽和避免這些風險情況而傷害自己。 |
英文摘要 |
This study presents the results of traffic accident statistic charts that had been changed between the congestion and the number of deaths, from the high number sloped down. With the theory of Smeed’s law, believes that when number of vehicles are high, then number of car accidents will get higher as well. However, the record from the Department of Land transport and Thai Bureau website have given enough information to prove that Thailand’s traffic accident has been changed since 2010 to 2018. In each year, number of vehicles are getting higher no doubt, but it turned out that car accidents have been reduced and been supportive from Thai people to follow the traffic law and know the value of life. When people understand how their lives important, they will not harm themselves by being careless and avoiding those risk situations. |
第三語言摘要 | |
論文目次 |
Table of Contents Chapter 1 Introduction v 1.1 Background 3 1.2 Research Topic and Goals 3 1.3 Research Motivation 5 1.4 Framework 5 1.5 Research Methodology 5 1.6 Research Limitation 6 1.7 Expected Results 6 Chapter 2 Literature Review 8 2.1 Introduction 8 2.2 The Literature on Measurement and Related Issues 8 2.3 The Literature on Types of Traffic Risks and Government Policies in Thailand 11 2.4 The Literature on Economic Costs of Road Accidents in Thailand 14 Chapter 3 Road Accident Policy and Accident Losses 19 3.1 Accident Policy 19 3.2 Causes of Car Accidents 21 3.2.1) Speeding 23 3.2.2) Drunk Driving 25 3.2.3) Wearing Seat Belts 27 3.2.4) Use cellphone while driving 28 3.2.5) Inconvenient Vehicle 29 Chapter 4 Time Series Properties and Other Characteristics of the Data 31 4.1 The Role of Statistics in Social Analysis 31 4.2 Overall Deaths Per Capita (DPC) for Thailand during 1993-2017 32 4.3 Motorcycle Accidents per 10,000 Motorcycles 34 4.4 Car Accidents per 10,000 Autos 37 4.5 Small Truck Accidents per 10,000 Small Trucks 41 4.6 A Summing up of the ANOVA Analyses 45 4.7 Smeed's Law and Thailand 47 Chapter 5 Conclusion 53 References 56 APPENDIX 60 APPENDIX 61 APPENDIX 62 List of Tables Table 2.1: Summary of Important Research 17 Table 3.1: Highway Budget 20 Table 3.2 Economic Loss from Road Accidents 21 Table4.1: Motorcycle accident per 10,000 of total motorcycles 34 Table 4.2: ANOVA Results, Test of Equality of Three Means, Levels of Accidents per 10,000 motorcycles 2004 - 2016 36 Table 4.3: ANOVA Results, Test of Equality of Three Means, Growth in Motorcycle accidents per 10,000 motorcycles 2005 - 2016 37 Table 4.4 : Car Accidents per 10,000 Autos 2004-2016 37 Table 4.5:Correlations for Growth in Accidents, Cars per 10,000 Autos 2004 - 2016 39 Table 4.6: ANOVA Results,Test of Equality Three Means,Growth in Car Accidents per 10,000 Autos 2005-2016 40 Table 4.7: Small Truck Accidents per 10,000 Small Trucks 2004-2016 42 Table 4.8: ANOVA Results, Test of Equality of Three Means, Small Truck Accidents per 10,000 Small Trucks 2004 - 2017 43 Table 4.9 : ANOVA Results,Test of Equality Three Means Growth in Small Truck Accidents per 10,000 Small Trucks 2005-2016 44 Table 4.10, Correlations for Growth in Accidents for, Small Trucks per 10,000 Small Trucks during 2005 - 2016 44 Table 4.11, Summary of ANOVA Results, Ratio Accidents per 10,000 and Growth of Ratio, by Transportation Mode, Period, and Grouping 46 Table 4.12, Thai Data Relevant to Smeed's Law 49 Table 4.13, Selected Smeed Law Data for Thailand 51 List of Figures Figure 4.1: Per Capita Deaths in Thailand Time series Forecasts from 2017 to 2030 33 Figure 4.2 Road Deaths per Capita vs. Registered Vehicles per Capita 50 |
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