本論文探討具特殊心理狀態的勞工與犯罪率之間的關聯性。勞動市場中的沮喪勞工以及隱藏性失業者在心理上可能會承受較大壓力，文獻研究發現憂鬱會造成偏差行為的產生，甚至出現攻擊與犯罪行為的發生。本論文使用台灣六個政府單位的統計數據資料，包含內政部警政署警政統計、行政院主計處人力資源暨運用調查、行政院主計總處家庭收支調查、教育部統計處、內政部戶政司戶口調查、以及行政院主計處薪資及生產力統計。以犯罪率為應變數，預測沮喪勞工與隱藏性失業者以兩階段迴歸方法估計這兩類勞動人口對犯罪率的影響，並比較單一階段迴歸與考慮內生影響後的兩階段迴歸結果。實證結果發現考慮內生影響後的兩階段迴歸結果比單一階段迴歸有更明顯的犯罪趨勢與顯著性，其中的沮喪勞工對整體犯罪率有正向的顯著結果，隱藏性失業者對整體犯罪率則是負向的顯著結果。推測是因為隱藏性失業者多是想更換工作的人，因此並不會做出不利於找工作的事，沮喪勞工則是處在無業的憂鬱狀態，出現失序行為的可能性相對較顯著。

This paper explores the correlation between special psychological states and crime rates on labor. The so called discouraged workers and hidden unemployed workers in the labor market may be under higher psychological pressure. Literature studies have found that depression can lead to deviations and even attacks and criminal behavior. This paper uses the statistical data from six government units in Taiwan, including the Police Administration Statistics, Human Resources and Utilization Survey, the Household Income and Expenditure Survey, the Education Statistics, the Household Survey, and the Salary and Productivity Statistics. Using the crime rate as the dependent variable, we estimate the impacts of the ratios of discouraged workers and hidden unemployed workers on the crime rate by using a Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) Regression Analysis, and compare the results with the results of the Ordinary Least Squares regression (OLS). The empirical results show that the 2SLS regression results after considering the endogenous impact have more obvious crime trends and significance than the OLS regression results. The discouraged workers has positive results and significance for the overall crime rate, and the hidden unemployment rate for the overall crime rate is a significantly negative effect. We consider that hidden concealed people are mostly people who want to change jobs, so they do not make things that are not conducive to finding a job. Discouraged workers are in an unemployed state of depression, therefore the possibility of disordered behavior is relatively significant.

目錄
第一章 緒論	1
第二章 文獻回顧	10
第三章 實證模型與資料	15
第一節　資料說明	15
第二節　實證方法	21
第四章 實證結果與分析	24
第一節　單一階段的迴歸結果	24
第二節　兩階段迴歸結果	32
第五章 結論	42
參考文獻	45



表目錄
表1: 各項變數敘述統計表	20
表2: 各項犯罪項目的敘數統計表	21
表3: 單一階段全般刑案迴歸結果	24
表4: 單一階段暴力犯罪與一般傷害迴歸結果	25
表5: 單一階段財產相關犯罪迴歸結果	26
表6: 單一階段特別刑法與性犯罪迴歸結果	27
表7: 單一階段詐欺偽造與智慧財產權迴歸結果	28
表8: 單一階段妨害自由與妨害婚姻及家庭迴歸結果	29
表9: 單一階段公共安全與交通相關案類迴歸結果	30
表10: 單一階段各項犯罪迴歸結果整理	31
表11: 第一階段估計結果	33
表12: 全般刑案估計結果	34
表13: 暴力犯罪與一般傷害估計結果	35
表14: 財產相關犯罪估計結果	36
表15: 特別刑法與性犯罪估計結果	37
表16: 詐欺偽造與侵害智慧財產權估計結果	38
表17: 妨害自由與妨害婚姻家庭估計結果	39
表18: 公共安全與交通相關案類估計結果	40
表19: 各項犯罪迴歸結果	41



圖目錄
圖1: 涉本國侵害智慧財產權全案件趨勢比較圖	3
圖2: 涉本國侵害智慧財產權違反商標法趨勢比較圖	3
圖3: 涉本國侵害智慧財產權違反著作權法趨勢比較圖	4
圖4: 經濟犯罪全案件趨勢比較圖	5
圖5: 經濟犯罪偽造新台幣趨勢比較圖	5
圖6: 經濟犯罪行使偽造新台幣趨勢比較圖	6
圖7: 經濟犯罪非法討債案件趨勢比較圖	6
圖8: 經濟犯罪違反石油管理法趨勢比較圖	7
圖9: 經濟犯罪走私趨勢比較圖	7
圖10: 經濟犯罪產製、販賣私劣酒趨勢比較圖	8
圖11: 經濟犯罪盜採砂(土)石趨勢比較圖	8

中文部份:
吳中勤(2015)，探究青少年憂鬱與偏差行為的影響關係，教育理論與實踐學刊，第32期，頁71-104。
吳齊殷、李文傑(2003)，青少年憂鬱症狀與偏差行為併發之關係機制，台灣社會學，第6期，頁119-175。
林明仁、劉仲偉(2006)，失業真的會導致犯罪嗎?以臺灣1978年至2003年縣市資料為例，經濟論文叢刊，第34(4)期，頁445-482。
曹光文(2014)，我國成年更生人監獄職訓、就業與社會復歸之趨勢分析，犯罪、刑罰與矯正研究，第6(1)期，頁91-112。


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