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系統識別號 U0002-0608201802120500
中文論文名稱 俄國和東南亞國協之間的雙邊關係和未來發展
英文論文名稱 BILATERAL RELATIONS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS OF RUSSIA-ASEAN PARTNERSHIP
校院名稱 淡江大學
系所名稱(中) 臺灣與亞太研究全英語碩士學位學程
系所名稱(英) Master's Program in Taiwan and Asia-Pacific Studies, College of International Studies (English-Taugh
學年度 106
學期 2
出版年 107
研究生中文姓名 尼基塔
研究生英文姓名 NIKITA SOVERSHAEV
學號 605245082
學位類別 碩士
語文別 英文
口試日期 2018-06-25
論文頁數 132頁
口試委員 指導教授-林若雩
委員-王高成
委員-左正東
中文關鍵字 東南亞國家聯盟  俄國  合伙  國際關係  雙邊關係 
英文關鍵字 ASEAN  Russia  Partnership  International Relations  Bilateral Relations 
學科別分類
中文摘要 在現代世界,許多整合團體已經發展起來,而東南亞國家盟是其中之一(簡稱東盟) 。 東盟為東南亞地區政治,經濟和文化的政府間組織。 東盟成員包括以下國家:文萊,越南,印度尼西亞,柬埔寨,寮國,馬來西亞,緬甸,新加坡,泰國和菲律賓。 俄羅斯做為世界舞台上的重要參與者,同時也積極參與該區域的建設。 本文探討了俄羅斯與東盟國傢伙伴關係的重要趨勢和問題。 為此,我們將認真分析亞太地區的經濟,政治和文化形勢。 本文也會有一些政策建議。
英文摘要 In the modern world, numerous integration groups have developed. One such is ASEAN, a regional political, economic and cultural intergovernmental organization of South-East Asia. Its members are the following countries: Brunei, Vietnam, Indonesia, Cambodia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines. Russia is an important player on the world stage and it also takes an active part in the life of this region. This thesis examines the key tendencies and problems of the partnership between Russia and ASEAN countries. To do this, we will carefully analyze the economic, political and cultural situation in the Asia-Pacific region. This thesis will also have some policy recommendations.
論文目次 Table of contents
List of Figures v
Terms vi
AMM – ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Meeting vi
USSR – Union of Soviet Socialist Republics vii
Chapter 1: Introduction 1
1.1 Research Topic 1
1.2 Research Motivation and Questions 4
1.3 Literature Review 5
1.3.1 Scientific novelty and theoretical significance of the research 7
1.4 Research Methodology 8
1.5 Conceptual Framework 10
Chapter 2: Dialogue partnership between Russia and ASEAN: Contractual and legal framework and institutions 11
2.1 Historical background 11
2.2 The beginning of a full-scale dialogue partnership 12
2.3 Reasons for the poor development of dialogue relations in comparison with other partners 22
Chapter 3: Cooperation between Russia and ASEAN in politics and security. 24
3.1 Stabilization of the two great powers in the region 25
3.2 Mechanisms for ensuring the security of Southeast Asia 26
3.3 Combating natural disasters 32
3.4 What awaits Russia in the region 40
Chapter 4: Russia and ASEAN: Current problems of cooperation 46
4.1. Trade and economic relations 46
4.1.1 Regulatory framework and mechanism of trade and economic cooperation 47
4.1.2 Problems of development of relations in the field of trade 50
4.2 Main fields of cooperation 53
4.2.1 Energy Resources 53
4.2.2 IT industry 64
4.2.3 Military-technical cooperation 72
Chapter 5: Difficulties facing cooperation 84
5.1 Cooperation in the financial sphere 84
5.2 Problems of transport and logistics infrastructure 87
5.3 Overcome the passivity of Russian private business 91
Chapter 6: Socio-cultural cooperation and other promising areas of cooperation 93
6.1 Interregional relations 93
6.2 Regulation of migration processes 95
6.3 Cooperation in the liquidation of the consequences of natural disasters 98
6.4 Socio-cultural cooperation 100
Chapter 7: Conclusion 111
Bibliography 115

List of Figures
Figure 1: Conceptual Framework ..............................................................................................10
Figure 2: Forecast of the ratio of the use of different types of fuel until 2035 ............................57
Figure 3: Digital in South-East Asia. A snapshot of key digital statistical indicators. November
2016.........................................................................................................................................64
Figure 4: Digital growth in South-East Asia. How digital usage has evolved around Southeast Asia
since November 2016 ...............................................................................................................65
Figure 5: Military cooperation between Russia and ASEAN .....................................................74
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Tourism Statistic 2017, Ministry of Tourism and Sports of Thailand, official website, https://www.mots.go.th/mots_en57/more_news.php?cid=330&filename=index, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Trade between Russia and Indonesia in 2017, (February 15, 2018), http://russian-trade.com/reports-and-reviews/2018-02/torgovlya-mezhdu-rossiey-i-indoneziey-v-2017- g /, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Trade between Russia and Malaysia in 2017, (February 15, 2018), http://russian-trade.com/reports-and-reviews/2018-02/torgovlya-mezhdu-rossiey-i-malayziey-v-2017- g /, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Trade between Russia and the Philippines in 2017, (February 15, 2018), http://russian-trade.com/reports-and-reviews/2018-02/torgovlya-mezhdu-rossiey-i-filippinami-v-2017- g /, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Trade between Russia and Thailand in 2017, (February 15, 2018), http://russian-trade.com/reports-and-reviews/2018-02/torgovlya-mezhdu-rossiey-i-tailandom-v-2017- g /, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
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Books and Monographs
Akhmedzhanov, Tlevkhan, Osvoyeniye shel'fovykh mestorozhdeniy [Development of offshore fields], (Almaty: 2008), 259. [in Russian]
“ASEAN v nachale XXI veka: aktual'nyye problemy i perspektiv” [ASEAN at the beginning of the XXI century: current problems and prospects], (Moscow: FORUM, 2010), 321. [in Russian]
Chicherin, Georgy, Tendentsii i perspektivy sotrudnichestva bankov Rossii i stran ASEAN
[Trends and prospects of cooperation between the banks of Russia and ASEAN countries], (Moscow: 2011), 25. [in Russian]
Dar'kin, Sergei, Tikhookeanskaya Rossiya. Strategiya, ekonomika, bezopasnost' [Pacific Russia. Strategy, economics, security],(Moscow: 2007), 384-395. [in Russian]
Sumsky, Victor, ASEAN-Russia: Foundations and future prospects, (Singapore: ISEAS, 2012), 245–253.
Ivanov, Oleg,“Kitay v tikhookeanskoy strategii SSHA” [China in the Pacific strategy of the United States], (Moscow, CA: Canon+), 322-335. [in Russian]
Ivanov, Oleg, “Voyenno-politicheskaya strategiya SSHA v ATR” [US military-political strategy in the APR], Mir i politika. No 7(82), (2013), 130-146. [in Russian]
Kokarev, Konstantin, Rossiya v Azii: problemy vzaimodeystviya [Russia in Asia: Problems of Interaction], (Moscow: 2006), 415-437. [in Russian]
Journal Articles
Bach Duong, no. 2, (June 2008).
Buszynski, Leszek, Russia and Southeast Asia: A new relationship. contemporary Southeast Asia, A Journal of International and Strategic Affairs, no 28(2), (2006), 276–296.
Chufrin, Gennady, Mark Hong, Russia-ASEAN Relations New Directions, (ISEAS: 2007), https://muse.jhu.edu/chapter/645249, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Daim, Nuradzimmah, ASEAN member states adopt renewable energy target, New Straits Times, no 8 (October 7, 2015), https://sg.news.yahoo.com/asean-member-states-adopt-renewable-140052447.html, (accessed May 25, 2018).
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Kanaev, Evgeniy, ASEAN i Rossiya: Otnosheniya posle holodnoy voynyi [ASEAN and Russia: Relations after the cold war]. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnyie otnosheniya, no 2, (2007), 67–74. [in Russian]
Kazakov, Oleg, Transsib: cherez prostranstvo i vremya [Transsib: through space and time], Rossiya v ATR, no. 3 (February 2011), 74-79, http://www.ifes-ras.ru/images/abook_file/ratr_20-kazakov.pdf, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Kemp, Simon, Digital landscape of Southeast Asia in Q4 2016, Tech in Asia, (November 23, 2016), https://www.techinasia.com/talk/digital-southeast-asia-q4-2015, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Klimenkom, Anatoliy, “Strategicheskoye partnerstvo mezhdu Rossiyey i Kitayem v Tsentral'noy Azii i nekotoryye puti sovershenstvovaniya regional'noy sistemy bezopasnosti“ [Strategic partnership between Russia and China in Central Asia and some ways to improve the regional security system], Problemy Dal'nego Vostoka, no 2, (2005), 11. [in Russian]
Koldunova, Yekaterina, “Vstrechayemsya v ASEM! Teoriya i praktika transregional'nykh otnosheniy: pamyatka dlya Rossii“ [We meet in the ASEM! Theory and practice of transregional relations: a reminder for Russia], Mezhdunarodnaya zhizn', no 10, (2010), 21-27. [in Russian]
Kuhrt, Natasha, The Russian far east in Russia’s Asia policy: Dual integration or double periphery?, Europe-Asia Studies, no 64(3), (2012), 471–493.
Lavrov, Sergei, Russia and ASEAN can achieve a great deal together. International Affairs, Special Issue, (2010), 7–16.
Lokshin, Grigoriy, Rossiya—ASEAN: Novyie proektyi i formatyi sotrudnichestva [ASEAN—Russia: New projects and formats of cooperation], Aziya i Afrika Segodnya, no. 2, (2011), 2–7. [in Russian]
Mann, Holden, Southeast Asia cleantech: Shifting priorities?, Asian Venture Capital Journal, no 5 (November 4, 2015), http://www.avcj.com/avcj/analysis/2433246/southeast-asia-cleantech-shifting-priorities, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Martynova, Evgeniya, Strengthening of Cooperation Between Russia and ASEAN: Rhetoric or Reality?, Asian Politics & Policy, Volume 6, no. 3, (2014), 397–412.
Rossiyskaya gazeta, no 8, (Moscow: October 28, 2008). [in Russian]
Storey, Ian, What Russia‘s turn to the East means for Southeast Asia, Yusof Ishak Institute, Perspective, NO.67, (December 3, 2015), https://www.iseas.edu.sg/images/pdf/ISEAS_Perspective_2015_67.pdf, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Tikhookeanskoye obozreniye 2004-2005 [The Pacific Review 2004-2005], (Moscow, 2006), 167. [in Russian]
Web Material
Alekseyev, Andrey, Vostochnyy vektor rossiyskoy politiki [Eastern vector of Russian politics], http://www.mid.ru/en/main_en, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Bayley, Caroline, How Russia's high-tech start-ups are looking beyond oil, BBC News, (November 26, 2017), https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-41904509, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Blank, Stephen, Russia, China, ASEAN and Asian Security, (August 04, 2011), http://www.e-ir.info/2011/08/04/russia-china-asean-and-asian-security/ , (accessed May 25, 2018).
Cabato, Regine, ASEAN signs Consensus to protect, promote migrant workers' rights, CNN Philippines, (November 14, 2017), http://cnnphilippines.com/news/2017/11/14/asean-consensus-sign-protect-promote-migrant-workers-right.html, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Chongkittavorn, Kavi, Russia: A new strategic partner for ASEAN?, (MAY 19, 2016), https://www.rbth.com/opinion/2016/05/19/russia-a-new-strategic-partner-for-asean_594339, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Chua, Jean, Renewables: Asean’s new energy frontier?, Future Ready Singapore, (November 5, 2015), https://www.singaporebusiness.com/2015/renewables-aseans-new-energy-frontier.html, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Cunami v Indiiskom okeane [The tsunami in the Indian ocean], Gazeta, (December 26, 2004), https://www.gazeta.ru/2004/12/26/box_4394.shtml, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Duterte predostavil korablyam VMF Rossii besplatnyy dostup v vody Filippin [Duteret provided free ships to the ships of the Russian Navy in the waters of the Philippines], REGNUM, (March 23, 2017), https://regnum.ru/news/polit/2253321.html, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Filippintsy zainteresovalis' rossiyskimi vertolotami i BPLA[Filipinos became interested in Russian helicopters and UAV], Voyennoye obozreniy, (March 22, 2017), https://topwar.ru/111562-filippincy-zainteresovalis-rossiyskimi-vertoletami-i-bpla.html, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
From Russia with love: Trade and arms deals for S-E Asia, The Straits Times, (July 8, 2016), http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/from-russia-with-love-trade-and-arms-deals-for-s-e-asia, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Glava Minregiona proverit podgotovku Vladivostoka k sammitu ATES [The head of the Ministry of Regional Development will check the preparation of Vladivostok for the APEC summit], PrimaMedia, (June 22, 2008), https://primamedia.ru/news/73970/, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Grove, Thomas, Russia Pushes to Boost Arms Exports, The Wall Street Journal, (March 17, 2017), https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-pushes-to-boost-arms-exports-1489743004,(accessed May 25, 2018).
GS Group uspeshno realizoval investitsionnyy proyekt po sozdaniyu tsifrovogo efirnogo operatora One TV v Kambodzhe [GS Group successfully implemented an investment project to create a digital one-TV operator in Cambodia], Press release, GS Group, (March 24, 2016), http://gs-group.com/press-center/news/gs-group-uspeshno -realizoval-investitsionnyy-proekt-po-sozdaniyu-tsifrovogo-efirnogo-operatora-one-t /, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Guryanov, Sergei, Tailand zayavil o namerenii priobresti u Rossii 12 vertoletov Mi-17[Thailand announced its intention to purchase from Russia 12 Mi-17 helicopters], VZGLYAD, (February 15, 2017), https://vz.ru/news/2017/2/15/858166.html, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Hawkes, Rebecca, GS Group to launch pay-TV service in Myanmar, Rapid TV News, October 7, 2014), https://www.rapidtvnews.com/2014100735555/gs-group-to-launch-pay-tv-service-in-myanmar.html#axzz47j4SMSwm, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Indoneziya predlozhila RZHD uchastvovat' v chetyrekh transportnykh proyektakh [Indonesia invited RZD to participate in four transport projects], TASS, (January 8, 2016), https://www.finanz.ru/novosti/aktsii/indoneziya-predlozhila-rzhd-uchastvovat-v-chetyrekh-transportnykh-proektakh-1000989093, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Indoneziya proyavlyayet interes k noveyshey modifikatsii samoletov Il-76[Indonesia is interested in the latest modification of Il-76], TASS, (September 27, 2016), http://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/3656737, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Istoriya otnosheniy Rossii i ASEAN. Dos'ye [The history of relations between Russia and ASEAN. Dossier], TASS, (May 18, 2016), http://tass.ru/info/3290942, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Kaspersky Lab announces the official opening of a regional office in Southeast Asia, Press release, Kaspersky Lab, (October 7, 2008), https://www.kaspersky.com/about/press-releases/2008_kaspersky-lab-announces-the-official-opening-of-a-regional-office-in-southeast-asia, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Kaspersky Lab Opens Office in Singapore, Press release, Kaspersky Lab, (April 15, 2015), https://www.kaspersky.com/about/press-releases/2015_kaspersky-lab-opens-office-in-singapore, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Kramnik, Ilya, Eksport rossiyskogo vooruzheniya: strategii vliyaniya [Export of Russian Arms: Influence Strategies], Novosti VPK, (March 11, 2014), https://vpk.name/news/106548_eksport_rossiiskogo_vooruzheniya_strategii_vliyaniya.html,(accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Lavrov otkryl v Dzhakarte predstavitel'stvo RF pri ASEAN [Lavrov opened an office of the Russian Federation in Jakarta with ASEAN], TASS, (May 18, 2016), http://tass.ru/politika/4471974, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
Le Myanmar reçoit ses trois premiers Yak 130, MenaDefense, (February 18, 2017), https://bmpd.livejournal.com/2439093.html, (accessed May 25, 2018).
Lukashevich, Aleksandr, Glava MID Rossii primet uchastiye v Vostochnoaziatskom sammite na Bali[Russian Foreign Minister will participate in the East Asia Summit in Bali], RIA Novosti, (November 14, 2011), http://ria.ru/world/20111114/488443686.html, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
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Putin poruchil okazat' gumanitarnuyu pomoshch' postradavshemu ot tayfuna V'yetnamu [Putin instructed to provide humanitarian assistance to the victim of the typhoon Vietnam], RIA Novosti, (November 7, 2017), https://ria.ru/world/20171108/1508358930.html, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
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Rossiya i Indoneziya gotovyat paket dokumentov po VTS[Russia and Indonesia are preparing a package of documents on military technical cooperation], RIA, (April 07, 2016),https://ria.ru/defense_safety/20160407/1404278070.html, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
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Rossiya i Malayziya prorabatyvayut dvustoronneye soglasheniye o VTS[Russia and Malaysia are working out a bilateral agreement on military-technical cooperation], Tass, (April 18, 2016), http://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/3215164, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
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Rossiya pouchit M'yanmu letat'[Russia will teach Myanmar to fly], Kommersant, (April 26, 2016), https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/2973276, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
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Tailand kupit u Rossii 10 Mi-17, no otkazhetsya ot pokupki tankov T-90 v pol'zu kitayskikh MBT-3000[Thailand will buy 10 Mi-17 from Russia, but will refuse to purchase T-90 tanks in favor of Chinese MBT-3000], Interfaks, (May 17, 2016), https://topwar.ru/95386-tailand-kupit-u-rossii- 10-mi-17-no-otkazhetsya-ot-pokupki-tankov-t-90-v-polzu-kitayskih-mbt-3000.html, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
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Vtoroy den' na MAKS-2017: zaklyucheniye soglasheniy i kosmicheskiye plany[The second day at MAKS-2017: conclusion of agreements and space plans], RIA, (July 19, 2017), https://ria.ru/defense_safety/20170719/1498797259.html, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Russian]
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Zhengquan, Shibao, Zhongguo yu dongmeng maoyi e tupo 5000 yi meiyuan chuang lishi xingao[China-ASEAN Trade Breaks 500 Billion U.S. Dollars], SINA, (January 26, 2018), http://news.sina.com.cn/c/2018-01-26/doc-ifyqyesy2392822.shtml, (accessed May 25, 2018). [in Chinese]
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