論文提要內容：
2002年伊朗內部未申報的核子設備被美國衛星曝光，引發國際社會關注伊朗核子計畫與用途，以EU3（包含英國、法國、德國）為首的外交部長與歐盟外交暨安全政策高級代表與伊朗展開談判，而後逐步擴大成五常加一對伊朗的談判局勢，並於2013年達成JCPOA協定，2016年聯合國與歐盟對伊朗撤除核子項目的經濟制裁，伊朗與歐盟也開始透過經貿活動加深彼此的外交關係。歷經長達14年的全面性經濟制裁，面臨制裁中止的伊朗如何重新與歐盟建構夥伴關係?確保核武使用安全的JCPOA協議實行下，雙邊的互動對於彼此的利益有何影響?雙邊又有哪些潛在發展合作的機會?

本研究以伊朗在國際制裁下與歐盟的經貿發展為研究標的，以歷史暨政策研究法分析；一、探悉伊朗核子危機事件的沿革；二、前政府在政策運作上的缺失，導致伊朗外交與內政陷入癥結，改向西方國家妥協的原因；三、歐盟作為與伊朗核子談判中的重要角色，本論文分析歐盟與伊朗在簽訂JCPOA協議後，雙邊經貿發展的可能性，以及透過經貿發展更全面性的互動及對話；四、分析在進入後制裁時期，伊朗與歐盟經貿關係面臨之挑戰，藉以了解伊歐建立夥伴關係整體的概況。

經過廣泛的研究與分析後，作者發現伊歐關係中，歐盟藉由經貿活動以維繫伊朗在核子安全的目的，並試圖以進一步的對話，來促進區域穩定、民主與人權等價值觀的普及。但伊歐的經貿發展作為雙邊關係發展的基礎，卻受到內部政權、體制衰敗與其他國際行為者牽制的影響，進而導致雙邊關係發展受到潛在威脅。未來，伊朗該在政策上提升統一性，整治國內經濟問題，並拓展區域內外交關係。而歐盟則需建立更獨立的對話渠道，並靈活運用多邊主義形式，來延續與伊朗以安全政策為核心目標的夥伴關係。

In 2002 Iran's previously undeclared nuclear facilities was exposed in USA satellite images, grabbed world’s attention to nuclear plan of Iran. EU3 (including Britain, France, Germany) and the EU High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy plays significant roles of negotiation toward the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action on Iran's nuclear program..  Iran and the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council – the United States, France, Britain, Russia and China – plus Germany signed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action(JCPOA) in 2013 and started implementing it in January 2016. The EU and UN nuclear-related economic and financial sanctions against Iran were terminated in line with the JCPOA. EU and Iran have increased their financial cooperation gradually, largely through oil, deepening their diplomatic relationship through growing trade and bilateral investment. After most sanctions against Iran are lifted, how does Iran re-establish a partnership with EU? To ensure Iran's adherence to the JCPOA, how to promote mutual interests through cooperation? What kind of trade oppourtunites between EU and Iran?   

This thesis centers on the Iran-EU economic and trade. Historical approach combined with Policy analysis approach is adopted in this research. The paper consisted of four main sections: looking into the factors influencing Iran’s strategic on sign the nuclear agreetment with P5+1, analyzing the impacts of economic legacy from former government, which changed Iran’s diplomatic policies, probing into what role for the EU in the negotiation with P5+1, as well as the possibility between Iran and EU to develope futrher relation beyond nuclear dailogue, and investigating oppourtunities and chalenges for EU – Iran trade relations in post – sanctions era. 

According to this research, EU through economic and trade activities to maintain Iran's nuclear safety purposes, and try to develop further dialouge like demovracy and human rights to promote rigional stability, convey values of EU. However the Iran – EU relations influenced by Iran’s political regime type, institutional decay and other countries which regards Iran as hegemonic state, hense hampering the warming of business relations between Iran and Europe. On the basis of the analysis mentioned in the chapters and sections above, there are suggestions summarized in this paper. At first Iran should unify policies, rectify domestic and economic problems, Secondly Iran must rebuild diplomatic relaitons with neighboring countries. Third EU can establish a more independent communicational to expand various dialogue with Iran, fourth to use multilateralism mechanism flexible for deepen partnership with Iran with the security target.

目  錄 
第一章 緒論  
    第一節 研究動機與目的…………………………………………1 
    第二節 研究方法…………………………………………………5 
    第三節 文獻回顧…………………………………………………7 
    第四節 研究範圍…………………………………………………16 
    第五節 研究架構………………………………………………16 
第二章 內賈德執政時期（2005-2013 年）伊朗政經發展…………21 
    第一節 伊朗內部政權的型態……………………………………23 
           一、伊斯蘭革命衛隊崛起對內政的影響………………25 
           二、最高宗教領袖對外交政策的影響…………………30 
    第二節 內賈德總統之經濟政策………………………………34  
           一、「 私有化與公平股票」的推行…………………37 
           二、「 補助金改革」的推行………………………39 
    第三節 賈德執政時期伊朗的對外關係…………………………43 
           一、與美國相互牴觸的立場……………………………44 
           二、與歐盟關係的冷卻…………………………………47 
第三章 魯哈尼總統外交與經濟政策………………………………53 
     第一節 中間派主政下外交政策………………………………54 
 第二節 《聯合全面行動計畫》（ JCPOA）的簽署………………58 
  一、歐巴馬時期對伊朗政策……………………61 
二、與歐盟重建外交關係……………………………63 
     第三節 魯哈尼總統重振經濟的作法…………………………66 
            一、新自由主義經濟政策的落實……………………68 
            二、當前國內經濟情勢的轉變………………………71 
 第四章 後制裁時期伊朗與歐盟經貿合作…………………………75 
     第一節 伊朗與歐盟關係的融冰期……………………………77 
     第二節 伊朗與歐盟經貿合作…………………………………82 
            一、伊朗作為新興市場的潛在商機…………………84 
            二、伊朗與歐盟目前貿易發展………………………88 
     第三節 伊朗營商環境分析……………………………………94 
            一、空中巴士(Airbus)採購所遇之貿易障礙………96 
            二、中央銀行政策與灰色經濟風險…………………100 
第五章  伊朗與歐盟經貿關係發展之挑戰…………………………104 
    第一節、中東區域政治的風險…………………………………106 
            一、伊朗與沙烏地阿拉伯區域競爭………………107
            二、以色列反對《聯合全面行動計畫》……………112 
   第二節、國內政治風險－保守派勢力阻礙……………………115
   第三節、美國對伊歐經貿關係的影響………………………120 
第六章  研究結論與發現……………………………………………130 
 第一節、前文綱要……………………………………………… 130
  第二節、研究發現…………………………………………………132 
  第三節、研究建議………………………………………………133  
參考文獻 ……………………………………………………………136

表目錄
表一、《聯合全面行動計畫》條款概述表……………………………60
表二、2015 年中東國家營商環境評估……………………….………95
圖目錄
圖一、研究架構圖…………………………………………………......19
圖二、2005 至2015 年伊朗與歐盟貿易量圖………………………...49
圖三、伊朗在2012 年經濟制裁前後石油輸出圖……………………51
圖四、伊朗與歐盟1996 年至2020 年GDP 變化圖…………………51
圖五、伊朗自1998 至2016 年以來通貨膨脹率圖…………………..70
圖六、伊朗政府支出與基礎建設支出額度比對圖…………….…….73
圖七、2015 年歐盟出口伊朗前十大商品比例圖…………….………77
圖八、2005 至2015 年伊朗與歐盟貿易量圖………………………...78
圖九、2015 年伊朗原與天然氣探明儲量圖…………………….……85
圖十、2016 年伊朗與其他國家人口總數比較圖…………………….87
圖十一、2012 年至2016 年間歐盟對伊朗貿易額圖………………...89
圖十二、2016 年歐盟成員國與伊朗貿易額圖……………………….90
圖十三、2016 年伊朗與阿拉伯聯合大公國、沙烏地阿拉伯營商便利度比較………………………………………………..………96
圖十四、2008 年至2017 年伊朗里亞爾對美元匯率走勢圖….……..99
圖十五、美國四種可能對伊朗採取方案示意圖……………………122
附錄目錄
附錄一、總統魯哈尼發表勝選演說…………………………………142
附錄二、總統魯哈尼於第71 回聯合國大會發言講稿……………..145

參考文獻
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