在機器人社會與性技術的交匯處，性機器人在這兩個領域都佔據著獨特的位置。性機器人是唯一有經濟誘因使家用機器人盡可能栩栩如生的家用機器人，而且很少引起真正的蔑視和道德爭論。當今的性愛機器人很初級，它們並不敏捷，也不能自己走路。性機器人配備的AI“個性”類似於我們在智慧設備中發現的 個人助手的淫穢版本。但是，如果再經過二十、三十年，該技術可能會發生巨大變化。已有文獻提出性機器人在治療和保健中的替代應用。然而，在性技術行業中，在安全性、隱私和責任方面尚無明確的標準或監督。另外，尚有許多倡議 完全禁止這種技術。這些因素共同構成了圍繞這一新興技術的不確定氣氛。本文旨在透過應用情節的未來研究方法，為該新興問題的各種可能結果提供有用的見解。運用訪談和問卷調查方法收集原始資料，並使用已發表的學術文獻和文章中的現有資料進行了增強。並使用夏威夷大學所創Manoa原型情節建構法，提出四個可能未來情節。這四個情節是：持續增長-主要集中在貨幣，增長和資本主義上，創造了許多就業機會。甚至連駭客都是出於經濟動機。紀律-一個安全意識濃厚的社會，一個監管環境，性機器人診所在其中提供各種性療法的工具。崩潰-在全球範圍內禁止性愛機器人技術的未來，並發佈導致此禁令的事件。轉型-一個對性觀念持開放態度的社會，認識到性健康對於短暫的性需求和短暫的滿足感具有整體重要性。此外，進行了一項消費者研究，以收集殘疾用戶對性機器人的態度及其設計需求。這些場景對於製造商，政策制定者，消費者，研究人員，甚至是那些反對性機器人的人都是有用的。

At the intersection of social robotics and sex technology, sex robots occupy a unique position within both fields. Sex robots are the only domestic robots where there is a financial incentive to make the robot as life-like as possible, and few other sex devices inspire true scorn and ethical debate. Today's sex robots are rudimentary, they are not nimble, nor can they walk on their own. The “AI personalities" sex robots are outfitted with are akin to smutty versions of the personal assistants found in most smart phones. However, looking twenty, thirty, years down the line, things could shift dramatically for this technology. There is already literature suggesting alternative applications for sex robots, within the fields of healthcare and therapy. Yet there are no clear standards or oversight when it comes to security, privacy, and responsibility within the sex tech industry. In addition, there are campaigns to ban this technology altogether. These factors convene to create an atmosphere of uncertainty surrounding the future of this emerging technology. This paper aims to provide useful insight into a variety of possible outcomes for sex robot technology, through applying the Futures Studies method of scenarios. Four scenarios were created using the Manoa Method, also known as the Four Archetypes, as developed by Jim Dator. These scenarios were informed by primary data collected via interviews and reinforced with existing secondary data from published academic literature. The four scenarios are:  Continued Growth - focused on money, growth and capitalism, many job opportunities are created, as are the risks for exploitation. Discipline - a security-minded society a regulatory environment, where sex robots are clinical tools for providing sexual therapies. Collapse - a future where sex robot technology has been globally prohibited, and back-casts events leading up to this ban. Transformation - a society open in sexual attitudes that recognizes the holistic importance of sexual wellbeing over fleeting sexual needs and momentary gratification. Furthermore, a consumer study was done that reveal insights to the needs of potential sex robot owners and disabled users. These scenarios will be useful for manufacturers, policy makers, consumers, researchers, and even those who campaign against sex robots.

CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION	1
SECTION 1.1 AIM 	2
SECTION 1.2 THE SEX ROBOT	4
CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW	8
SECTION 2.1 INDUSTRY GROWTH AND PUBLIC RECEPTION	9
SECTION 2.2 SEX ROBOT PROSTITUTION AND LAW	14
SECTION 2.3 THE CAMPAIGN AGAINST SEX ROBOTS	19
SECTION 2.4 HUMAN ROBOT INTERACTION	20
SECTION 2.5 SECURITY AND SEX TECHNOLOGY	24
SECTION. 2.6 EXPLORING POSSIBILITIES	27
SECTION. 2.7 SOCIAL DISRUPTIONS	35
CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY	45
SECTION 3.1 INTRODUCTION AND RESEARCH STRATEGY	45
SECTION 3.2 INTERVIEW PROCESS & DESIGN	47
SECTION 3.3 QUESTIONNAIRE PROCESS & DESIGN	49
SECTION 3.4 DATA COLLECTION	50
SECTION 3.5 PRIMARY DATA ANALYSIS 	51
SECTION 3.6 SCENARIOS	52
SECTION 3.7 FINAL SCENARIO ANALYSIS	54
SECTION 3.8 ETHICAL CONSIDERATIONS	56
CHAPTER 4 ANALYSIS AND FINDINGS	59
SECTION 4.1 INTRODUCTION	59
SECTION 4.2 QUESTIONNAIRE DATA ANALYSIS	59
SECTION 4.3 INTERVIEW THEMATIC ANALYSIS	61
4.3.1 Male Fixation & Orientation	62
4.3.2 Sexual Attitudes – Rights, Needs, & Well-being	70
4.3.3 Protecting Vulnerable Populations	72
4.3.4 Security as An Afterthought	79
4.3.5 Law & Liability	88
4.3.6 Crucial Conversations	92

SECTION 4.4 INTERIM SUMMARY OF FINDINGS	99
SECTION 4.5 FACTORS	100
CHAPTER 5 SCENARIOS	105
SECTION 5.1 CONTINUED GROWTH SCENARIO	105
SECTION 5.2 DISCIPLINE SCENARIO	110
SECTION 5.3 COLLAPSE SCENARIO	113
SECTION 5.4 TRANSFORMATION SCENARIO	117
CHAPTER 6 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION	121
SECTION 6.1.1 CONTINUED GROWTH	121
SECTION 6.1.2 DISCIPLINE	123
SECTION 6.1.3 COLLAPSE	126
SECTION 6.1.4 TRANSFORMATION	127
SECTION 6.2 CAUSAL LAYERED ANALYSIS	130
SECTION 6.2.1 CONTINUED GROWTH	131
SECTION 6.2.2 DISCIPLINE	133
SECTION 6.2.3 COLLAPSE	136
SECTION 6.2.4 TRANSFORMATION	139
CONCLUSION	143

REFERENCES	148

APPENDIX I	158
APPENDIX II	160
APPENDIX III	163

LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES

FIG. 1 POSITIVE TREND IN PUBLIC OPINION POLLS OVER TIME	10
TABLE 1 MISREPORTED SEX ROBOT BROTHEL HEADLINES	15
TABLE 2 LEGAL RULINGS MADE ON CHILD SEX DOLLS IN WESTERN NATIONS	18
FIG. 2 UNTITLED, HAJIME SORAYAMA	23
FIG. 3 ROBOSEXUAL PRIDE FLAG	23
TABLE 3 INSTANCES OF HUMAN-ROBOT MARRIAGE	36
TABLE 4 PUNISHMENTS OF SEX ACTS WITH ROBOTS, UNDER ISLAMIC LAW	81
FIG. 4 FACTORS REPRESENTED ON A DOUBLE DRIVER MATRIX	103
FIG. 5 DIFFERENT BEHAVIORS OF REGULATION AS A DRIVER OF CHANGE	104
FIG. 6 CONTINUED GROWTH FEATURED HEADLINE	131
FIG. 7 DISCIPLINE FEATURED HEADLINE	133
FIG. 8 COLLAPSE FEATURED HEADLINE	136
FIG. 9 TRANSFORMATION FEATURED HEADLINE	139
TABLE 5 CLA OF THE FOUR ARCHETYPES	142
TABLE 6 RESEARCH QUESTION Q1.	144
TABLE 7 RESEARCH QUESTION Q2.	144

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