§ 瀏覽學位論文書目資料
  
系統識別號 U0002-0307201711581300
DOI 10.6846/TKU.2017.00052
論文名稱(中文) 油價與股市波動影響研究-以台灣股市為例
論文名稱(英文) A Study on the Impact of Oil Prices and Stock Market Fluctuation – Evidence from Taiwan
第三語言論文名稱
校院名稱 淡江大學
系所名稱(中文) 管理科學學系企業經營碩士在職專班
系所名稱(英文) Executive Master's Program of Business Administration (EMBA) in Management Sciences
外國學位學校名稱
外國學位學院名稱
外國學位研究所名稱
學年度 105
學期 2
出版年 106
研究生(中文) 李維邦
研究生(英文) Wei-Pang Lee
學號 704620144
學位類別 碩士
語言別 繁體中文
第二語言別
口試日期 2017-06-12
論文頁數 35頁
口試委員 指導教授 - 倪衍森(ysniysni@gmail.com)
委員 - 曹銳勤(rctsaur@mail.tku.edu.tw)
委員 - 黃寶玉(hpy@scu.edu.tw)
關鍵字(中) 原油價格
公司治理
Granger因果關係
股價
關鍵字(英) Crude oil price
corporate governance
Granger causality
stock price
第三語言關鍵字
學科別分類
中文摘要
本研究探討國際油價對股價變動的影響,本文研究2011到2015年台灣證交所上市公司之中的台灣50成分股為研究樣本,並以財金計量方法來萃取股價與油價是否有短期關係,或是長期關係的代理變數,並獲致下列重要的實證結果:其一、油價對台灣企業的股價有著亦步亦趨的長期關係,且油價對各產業的影響中以電子業尤為顯著。二、除董監事持股比率與公司價值有正向關係、董監事持股質押比率與公司價值有負向關係外,本研究亦發現油價與股價有連動性的公司亦對公司價值亦有正向影響,此顯示這些股價易受到油價變動的公司,反而有可能採用降低油價波動的措施,進而有助於其公司價值的提升。
英文摘要
This study investigates the effect of the information in terms of oil prices to the movement of stock prices for the constituent stocks of TW 50 listed on Taiwan Stock Exchange. By retrieving the Granger causality and Cointegration as the proxies of the short-term and long-term relationships between oil prices and stock prices, this study derives the following important findings. First, the cointegation relationships are revealed for the constituent stocks of TW50, especially for the firms falling in electronic industry. Second, aside from that directors’ holding ratio and directors’ pledge ratio would have positive and negative effects on firm value, respectively, this study reveal that the firm value would be enhanced for firms whose share prices are sensitive with oil prices. We argue that these firms might adopt hedging strategies to reduce the influences of oil volatilities, which might be beneficial for firm value enhanced.
第三語言摘要
論文目次
中文摘要	I
ABSTRACT	II
目  錄	III
圖目錄	V
表目錄	VI
第一章	緒論	1
第一節	研究背景與動機	1 
第二節	研究目的	3
第三節	研究流程	5
第四節	研究架構	6
第二章	文獻探討	7
第一節	公司治理	7
第二節	油價與油價敏銳的股票	9
第三節	公司治理、油價、油價敏銳度	10
第三章	研究假說與方法	12
第一節	研究資料與變數	12
第二節	研究假說與模型	15
第三節	研究方法	17
第四章	實證結果	20
第一節	敘述統計量	20
第二節	多元迴歸模型分析	22
第三節	羅吉斯迴歸模型分析	23
第五章	結論與建議	26
第一節	研究結論	26
第二節	管理與財務意涵	28
第三節	研究限制與建議	29
參考文獻		31
 
圖  目  錄
圖1-1	台灣原油自產與進口的數量統計量	2
圖1-2	研究架構流程圖	5
 
 表  目  錄
表1-1	台灣原油自產與進口的數量統計量	3
表4-1	敘述統計量	21
表4-2	共線性VIF檢驗敘述統計量	21
表4-3	多元迴歸模型分析	22
表4-4	羅吉斯迴歸模型分析(一)	24
表4-5	羅吉斯迴歸模型分析(二)	24
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