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系統識別號 U0002-0307201320435800
中文論文名稱 影響台灣高股息ETF成分股績效之成因分析
英文論文名稱 The Analysis of the Factors Affecting the Performance for the Constituent Stocks of Taiwan High-Yield ETF
校院名稱 淡江大學
系所名稱(中) 管理科學學系企業經營碩士在職專班
系所名稱(英) Executive Master’s Program of Business Administration(EMBA) in Management Sciences
學年度 101
學期 2
出版年 102
研究生中文姓名 程瀞萱
研究生英文姓名 Jing-Shiuan Cheng
學號 700620643
學位類別 碩士
語文別 中文
口試日期 2013-06-24
論文頁數 35頁
口試委員 指導教授-倪衍森
委員-蕭文姃
委員-曹銳勤
中文關鍵字 股息殖利率  股價報酬  高股息成份股 
英文關鍵字 Dividend yield  Stock return  Constituent stocks 
學科別分類
中文摘要 在動盪不安的金融環境以及高通膨的經濟體系下,高殖利率的投資標的深受市場的青睞。其主要成因乃是投資人認知高股息殖利率的投資標似乎具有穩健的收益率、甚至穩定配息。本研究以元大寶來台灣高股息ETF成分股作為研究標的,其涵蓋國內上市30檔高股息殖利率股票。本研究以2007-2011為研究期間,採行多元廻歸模型、羅吉斯迴歸模型,與縱橫資料模型等研究方法,其實證結果顯示,資產周轉率與淨利率對股息殖利率呈正向關係,然而董監事薪酬對股息殖利率則呈負向影響。換言之,資產管理良好、淨利率高、與非高董監事薪酬的公司,比較屬於高股息殖利率的公司。此外,本研究卻顯示高股息殖利率的標的,其未來的股價表現並不優異,此可能是過去高獲利的公司,未來要持盈泰,要超越自己似乎不見得是一件容易的事。

英文摘要 Under turbulent financial environment and high inflation economies, high yield investment objects are favored by the market. The major cause is the investor recognizes that high dividend yield investments seem to have a healthy yield, even stable dividend. Yuanta Taiwan Dividend ETF constituents as the subject of the study, covering the domestic market 30 high dividend yield rate stocks. In this 2007-2011 study period, with the adoption of the multiple regression model, logistic regression model, panel data model and other research methods, empirical results show that a positive relationship between asset turnover and net profit margin of the dividend yield; however, remuneration to directors and supervisors indicates a negative impact to the dividend yield. In other words, for those companies which have good asset management, high net profit margin, and non-high company remuneration of directors are likely considered to generate high dividend yield. In addition, this study shows that the subject of the high dividend yield, its future stock price performance is not excellent. This may be due to the difficulty for highly profitable companies to continue to surpass the past performances and maintain steady economic growth in the future.

論文目次 謝辭 I
中文摘要 II
英文摘要 III
目錄 IV
圖目錄 V
表目錄 VI
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究背景與動機 1
第二節 研究目的 2
第三節 研究流程 4
第四節 研究架構 5
第二章 文獻探討 6
第一節 股息殖利率與公司經營治理 6
第二節 股利殖利率與股價報酬 8
第三章 研究假說與方法 11
第一節 研究資料與變數 11
第二節 研究假說 14
第三節 研究方法與模型介紹 17
第四章 實證研究結果 20
第一節 敘述性統計量 20
第二節 迴歸模型之實證結果分析 24
第三節 縱橫資料模型之實證結果分析 29
第五章 結論 31
第一節 研究結論 31
第二節 投資管理意涵 32
第三節 研究限制與後續研究建議 33
參考文獻 34
圖目錄
圖1-1 研究流程圖 4
圖4-1 台灣加權指數股價走勢 22
圖4-2 高股息ETF的股價走勢 22
圖4-3台灣加權指數與高股息ETF報酬率走勢 23
表目錄
表4-1 各變數敘述統計量 20
表4-2 各解釋變數之共線性分析與VIF值 25
表4-3 以股價報酬為應變數之迴歸模型實證結果 25
表4-4 股息殖利率為應變數之迴歸模型實證結果 26
表4-5 股息殖利率為應變數之羅吉斯模型實證結果 27
表4-6 Panel Data股價報酬之實證結果 29
表4-7 Panel Data股息殖利率之實證結果 30
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